Analisis Diskriminan Terhadap Angka Partisipasi Kasar Perguruan Tinggi berdasarkan Faktor Pendidikan dan Sosial Ekonomi

Abstract

The level of participation in higher education or GER, reflects the key to developing superior and competitive human resources. GER serves as a primary measure to evaluate the effectiveness of education equity policies, considering socioeconomic factors such as income level, poverty rate, and education budget allocation. In addition, GER is influenced by educational factors, particularly the number of higher education institutions, the percentage of college graduates, and the completion rate of senior secondary education. The secondary data used in this study was sourced from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and covers all provinces in Indonesia. The objective is to identify characteristics that differentiate provinces based on GER levels. The primary method used is discriminant analysis, which enables classification modeling based on key educational variables. The results show that the percentage of college graduates and the senior secondary completion rate are the most influential in distinguishing provincial GER levels. The resulting discriminant function is: −8.217 + 0.394  (percentage of college graduates) + 0.055  (senior secondary completion rate), with a classification accuracy of 81,6%. These findings provide an essential basis for designing more targeted higher education policies to address disparities in access across regions.